Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 154.337398 169.444758 184.897621 201.856697 219.916242 238.543903 259.180509
2025-02-23 122.384549 144.071829 167.341551 194.040793 223.701230 255.516800 292.098042
2025-03-02 100.655314 126.507571 155.494997 190.099226 229.972493 274.172757 326.562050
2025-03-09 86.060618 114.897816 148.549292 190.147342 239.603998 295.955809 364.429635
2025-03-16 75.423619 106.491603 144.090223 192.029299 250.593561 318.899164 403.637587
2025-03-23 69.147178 102.572046 144.323894 198.977545 267.270901 348.460059 450.879329
2025-03-30 62.747393 97.685529 142.681207 203.063439 280.114367 373.328174 492.703672
2025-04-06 55.963237 91.510038 138.713643 203.624887 288.150274 392.120754 527.175533
2025-04-13 50.267919 86.206075 135.348143 204.490177 296.223068 410.779599 561.499211
2025-04-20 46.957991 83.938878 135.796648 210.184244 310.423828 437.171892 605.677645
2025-04-27 43.555095 81.170347 135.254482 214.316171 322.465542 460.850957 646.651984
2025-05-04 41.057807 79.513687 136.082063 220.189936 336.783416 487.539775 691.698226
2025-05-11 38.406355 77.466460 136.311723 225.348780 350.461071 513.947905 737.263936
2025-05-18 32.931667 70.313301 128.515499 218.691801 347.723609 518.701225 754.906453
2025-05-25 28.869190 65.074840 123.214755 215.279316 349.194634 528.874419 779.606743
2025-06-01 26.110610 61.801552 120.707083 215.771727 356.017010 546.201400 813.852023
2025-06-08 23.995139 59.456309 119.485669 218.053303 365.325720 566.942760 852.822587
2025-06-15 23.115180 59.328749 121.824410 225.780118 382.574862 598.733779 906.925562
2025-06-22 21.715247 58.045687 122.136259 230.312760 395.201136 624.287807 952.903432
2025-06-29 19.769928 55.458189 120.059925 230.955502 402.038666 641.836136 988.187805
2025-07-06 18.055895 53.139433 118.272203 231.917195 409.273792 659.951084 1024.371144
2025-07-13 17.278466 52.720836 119.767656 238.160179 424.480520 689.422707 1076.379601
2025-07-20 16.308428 51.769793 120.232887 242.686377 437.122640 715.377379 1123.777876